|
Was this forwarded to you? Subscribe here — free, every trading day.
|
|
Markets · Options · Signal
April 24, 2026 · All times ET
|
|
|
|
Market Snapshot · 10:07 ET
|
S&P 500
709.49
+0.15%
|
Nasdaq
657.92
+1.00%
|
Dow
490.97
-0.41%
|
Russell 2k
274.89
-0.23%
|
VIX
19.19
-0.62%
|
|
20Y Bond
86.59
+0.05%
|
Gold
433.57
+0.59%
|
Silver
68.65
+0.39%
|
Oil
133.35
-1.02%
|
USD
27.50
-0.09%
|
|
CNN Fear & Greed
67
Greed
wk -1 · mo +49
|
AAII Survey 2026-04-22
▲ 46.0%
/
▼ 34.4%
/
19.5%
spread +11.6 · avg bull 46.0%
|
| Key Technical Levels |
| SPY |
Trend: Bullish |
Sup: 680.79 |
Res: 712.39 |
RSI: 68.5 |
| QQQ |
Trend: Bullish |
Sup: 615.04 |
Res: 659.70 |
RSI: 73.5 |
|
|
| Indicator |
Value |
Change |
| 2Y Yield |
3.83% |
+4bps |
| 10Y Yield |
4.34% |
+4bps |
| Spread |
+51bps |
Normal |
| DXY |
98.66 |
-0.14% |
| VIX/3M |
0.89 |
Contango |
| HY OAS |
6.75% |
-0.02% |
| BZ–WTI |
0.9877
$94.45 · $95.63
|
z -2.77 · Long spread · ρ 92%
|
| GDXJ–GLD |
0.2838
$123.21 · $434.14
|
z -0.03 · Neutral · ρ 85%
|
| BTC |
$77,973 |
-0.4% |
| ETH |
$2,312 |
-0.8% |
| ETH/BTC |
0.0296 |
|
Sector Rotation · Today |
10:10 ET |
|
Technology
+1.78%
XLK
|
Cons. Discr.
+0.25%
XLY
|
Real Estate
+0.10%
XLRE
|
|
Cons. Staples
+0.02%
XLP
|
Utilities
-0.01%
XLU
|
Materials
-0.59%
XLB
|
|
Financials
-0.61%
XLF
|
Energy
-0.81%
XLE
|
Industrials
-0.97%
XLI
|
|
Health Care
-1.29%
XLV
|
Communication
-1.42%
XLC
|
In the RECOVERY regime, tech and consumer discretionary sectors lead, while defensives like healthcare and comms lag, signaling a risk-on rotation.
|
|
Regime Timeline
|
|
From the Desk · RECOVERY Day 14 (prev. close)
“The market remains in a RECOVERY regime for 14 days, with the S&P 500 up 0.15% and Nasdaq up 1.00% from the previous close, while the Dow and Russell 2k lagged with moves of -0.41% and -0.23%, respectively. Worth watching is the divergence between the Nasdaq's strong performance and the Dow's decline, as Intel's blockbuster sales view drove the tech-heavy index, while Goldman leading record renminbi borrowing by US banks may signal a shift in global financial flows.”
— The MOS Quantitative Desk
|
|
Policy Risk Monitor — @realDonaldTrump
|
“RT: https://truthsocial.com/users/realDonaldTrump/statuses/116458328588094795https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2047224780374610091?s=10”
7h ago
|
|
“Trump admin live updates: Prez announces Israel-Lebanon cease-fire extended by 3 weeks: https://nypost.com/2026/04/20/us-news/trump-admin-live-updates-april-20-21-22-23-24/”
10h ago
|
|
|
Crowd Signal |
250 posts · 5 subs · 10:09 ET |
Trending tickers across Reddit · r/wallstreetbets · r/stocks · r/options · r/thetagang · r/StockMarket
Scoring: mention count × cross-sub breadth · pts = upvotes · N/M subs = appeared in N of M subreddits scanned
|
ANY
mixed
47
“I prefer the backside when it comes to squeezes 👹🫰🏼🍑”
WSB 764 pts · 5/5 subs
|
INTC
mixed
20
“Grandma giving handy in heaven. Praise be to regards. INTC!!! Intels incels unit…”
WSB 1327 pts · 5/5 subs
|
|
META
mixed
20
“Meta to Lay Off 10 Percent of Work Force in A.I. Push”
WSB 1120 pts · 5/5 subs
|
AMD
mixed
19
“AMD. Another week. Another million. +$7.7M”
WSB 280 pts · 5/5 subs
|
|
R
mixed
15
“Daily Discussion Thread for April 24, 2026”
WSB 174 pts · 5/5 subs
|
SPY
mixed
13
“Position went 10x to 70k while i was asleep”
WSB 3637 pts · 5/5 subs
|
|
NICE
mixed
13
“Sympathy play was a nice surprise this morning, easy $15k”
WSB 10 pts · 5/5 subs
|
MU
bullish
11
“My chip portfolio goes 🚀. My technical analysis was 'computer need chip, chip go…”
WSB 551 pts · 4/5 subs
|
|
Insider Wire |
1591 Form 4s filed · 10:07 ET |
Notable open-market transactions · SEC EDGAR · 2026-04-19 to 2026-04-24
Executives are dumping shares ahead of earnings, with a cluster of significant insider sales in tech and software, led by CrowdStrike's (CRWV) C-Suite trio shedding $200M+.
|
Ticker |
Insider |
Value |
| SELL |
CRWV |
Venturo Brian M Chief Strategy Officer |
$130.4M |
| SELL |
CRWV |
Intrator Michael N CEO and President |
$35.8M |
| SELL |
CRWV |
McBee Brannin Chief Development Officer |
$33.3M |
| SELL |
ROKU |
Collier Charles President, Roku Media |
$23.7M |
| SELL |
NET |
Zatlyn Michelle President and Board Co-Chair |
$15.8M |
| SELL |
TDG |
Howley W Nicholas Insider |
$12.8M |
|
Short Interest Monitor |
25 scanned · 10:11 ET |
FINRA short interest via Yahoo · ~10 days (FINRA via Yahoo) · squeeze risk = SI% × days-to-cover
| Ticker |
SI % |
DTC |
MoM |
Squeeze |
| UPST |
33.3% |
5.4d |
+11.0% |
HIGH
|
| BYND |
31.0% |
5.2d |
-1.3% |
HIGH
|
| SMCI |
18.5% |
1.9d |
-2.2% |
ELEVATED
|
| LQDA |
16.6% |
8.8d |
-0.5% |
ELEVATED
|
| GME |
15.3% |
11.1d |
-4.3% |
ELEVATED
|
| AMC |
15.3% |
3.4d |
-28.4% |
ELEVATED
|
| CVNA |
14.6% |
5.3d |
+16.9% |
MODERATE
|
| RIVN |
13.3% |
4.9d |
+0.6% |
MODERATE
|
|
Phantom Float · Squeeze Action Monitor |
8072 scanned · 94 SEC-confirmed· 4 red · 71 yellow |
Nine-layer signal stack scored daily across full universe (Stage 1 ignition sweep + Stage 2 SEC confirm). Each symbol receives an executable verdict: WHAT to do, WHEN to enter, WHEN to invalidate, HOW MUCH to size (2% of 20-day ADV cap). Archegos / VW / CAR pattern.
Kill-Switch (52):
BNED active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-03-10IMVT active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-06 · scheduled NDA: NDA language in recent 8-K (no date parsed)CBRL scheduled Earnings: Earnings language in recent 8-K (no date parsed)SKYH active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-03-19CAR active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-03-27GRND active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-03-02 (large facility ≥$500M)REX scheduled Earnings: Earnings scheduled 2026-05-27 (>30d out) [FMP]CHWY scheduled Earnings: Earnings scheduled 2026-06-10 (>30d out) [FMP]SRZNW active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-03-30 (large facility ≥$500M)RCUS active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-25 (large facility ≥$500M) · scheduled NDA: NDA language in recent 8-K (no date parsed)SDSTW active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2025-12-17 (large facility ≥$500M) · scheduled Earnings: Earnings within 30d (2026-05-20) [FMP]DRUG active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-01-09TSHA active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-03-19 · scheduled Earnings: Earnings within 30d (2026-05-21) [FMP]ORKA active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-03-12NBR active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-13PTGX active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-25 (large facility ≥$500M)XPER active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-26WEX scheduled Earnings: Earnings language in recent 8-K (no date parsed)PLUS scheduled Earnings: Earnings scheduled 2026-05-28 (>30d out) [FMP]MLAB scheduled Earnings: Earnings scheduled 2026-05-27 (>30d out) [FMP]FCN active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-26 (large facility ≥$500M)LSTR scheduled Earnings: Earnings language in recent 8-K (no date parsed)PBYI active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-26SRCE scheduled Earnings: Earnings within 30d (2026-04-23)ALB active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-11 (large facility ≥$500M)SLRC active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-24 (large facility ≥$500M)SENS active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-03-02PCRX active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-26EPC active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2025-11-18CNK active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2025-11-05 (large facility ≥$500M)PRTA active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-27 (large facility ≥$500M)BTMD scheduled Earnings: Earnings language in recent 8-K (no date parsed)NTAP scheduled Earnings: Earnings scheduled 2026-05-28 (>30d out) [FMP]SAH active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-23 (large facility ≥$500M)BXP active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-03-06 (large facility ≥$500M)ECPG active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-25UTI scheduled Earnings: Earnings language in recent 8-K (no date parsed)ETON scheduled NDA: NDA language in recent 8-K (no date parsed)TGTX active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-27 (large facility ≥$500M)BLMN active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-25 (large facility ≥$500M)UNFI scheduled Earnings: Earnings scheduled 2026-06-09 (>30d out) [FMP]HOG active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-26 (large facility ≥$500M) · scheduled Earnings: Earnings language in recent 8-K (no date parsed)PVH scheduled Earnings: Earnings scheduled 2026-06-03 (>30d out) [FMP]CVNA active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-18 (large facility ≥$500M)AMC active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-09W active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-19 (large facility ≥$500M)GME active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-03-24 · scheduled Earnings: Earnings scheduled 2026-06-09 (>30d out) [FMP]UPST active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-10 (large facility ≥$500M)HOOD active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-20 (large facility ≥$500M)RIVN active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-12 (large facility ≥$500M)DKNG active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-13 (large facility ≥$500M)PLTR active ATM: Active ATM — last touched 2026-02-17 (large facility ≥$500M)
Late-Stage Avoid (3):
CRMLWCBIOAPLD
Illiquid-Pass (4):
LPA MICRO-ILLIQUID · ADV $89k — cap $1.8kBNAIW MICRO-ILLIQUID · ADV $8k — cap $0.2kRMBI ILLIQUID · ADV $0.40M — cap $8kKPLT ILLIQUID · ADV $0.11M — cap $2k
Full structural ranking · 75 flagged names (click to expand)
| Ticker |
Struct |
Ignit |
Final |
Hldrs |
Flags |
Bucket |
| FLGT |
0.34 |
0.85 |
0.60 |
47% |
PREGRINDCOVERELEV |
RED
|
| SSTK |
0.34 |
0.85 |
0.59 |
52% |
PREGRINDCOVERELEV |
RED
|
| LCID |
0.55 |
0.10 |
0.55 |
76% |
PREELEVATM* |
YELLOW
|
| PSNY |
0.45 |
0.65 |
0.55 |
98% |
PREGRINDADDELEVDDUP? |
YELLOW
|
| BNED |
0.42 |
0.85 |
0.48 |
82% |
GRINDCOVERELEVATM |
RED
|
| PAY |
0.35 |
0.55 |
0.45 |
98% |
PREGRINDADD |
YELLOW
|
| IMVT |
0.31 |
0.85 |
0.44 |
69% |
GRINDCOVERELEVATMNDA |
RED
|
| OM |
0.24 |
0.85 |
0.41 |
68% |
GRINDCOVERELEVATM*ILLIQ |
YELLOW
|
| HGTY |
0.20 |
0.85 |
0.39 |
98% |
GRINDCOVERELEVDDUP? |
YELLOW
|
| AMCX |
0.31 |
0.65 |
0.36 |
47% |
GRINDADDELEV |
YELLOW
|
| CBRL |
0.30 |
0.65 |
0.35 |
40% |
GRINDADDELEVEarnings |
YELLOW
|
| FLWS |
0.24 |
0.55 |
0.35 |
40% |
IGNGRINDADD |
YELLOW
|
| LPA |
0.36 |
0.55 |
0.34 |
83% |
GRINDADDMICRO |
YELLOW
|
| SKYH |
0.25 |
0.65 |
0.34 |
68% |
GRINDADDELEVATM |
YELLOW
|
| SIRI |
0.30 |
0.55 |
0.32 |
50% |
GRINDADDM&A |
YELLOW
|
| CAR |
0.56 |
0.45 |
0.31 |
78% |
COOLCOVERELEVLADDERATM |
YELLOW
|
| HRMY |
0.26 |
0.55 |
0.30 |
39% |
GRINDADD |
YELLOW
|
| JBLU |
0.25 |
0.55 |
0.30 |
40% |
GRINDADD |
YELLOW
|
| GRND |
0.22 |
0.55 |
0.29 |
76% |
GRINDADDATM |
YELLOW
|
| REX |
0.05 |
0.55 |
0.27 |
27% |
IGNGRINDADDATM*Earnings |
YELLOW
|
| CBIO |
0.55 |
0.50 |
0.19 |
84% |
BLOWGRINDELEVATM* |
YELLOW
|
| RCUS |
0.20 |
0.85 |
0.18 |
54% |
BLOWGRINDCOVERELEVATMNDA |
YELLOW
|
| DRUG |
0.22 |
0.65 |
0.15 |
71% |
BLOWGRINDADDELEVATM |
YELLOW
|
| TSHA |
0.31 |
0.50 |
0.14 |
75% |
BLOWGRINDELEVATMEarnings |
YELLOW
|
| ORKA |
0.27 |
0.50 |
0.13 |
57% |
BLOWGRINDELEVATM |
YELLOW
|
| NBR |
0.11 |
0.65 |
0.13 |
43% |
BLOWGRINDADDELEVATM |
YELLOW
|
| ENR |
0.18 |
0.85 |
0.13 |
47% |
DEADGRINDCOVERELEV |
YELLOW
|
| FOXA |
0.15 |
0.85 |
0.12 |
28% |
DEADGRINDCOVERELEV |
YELLOW
|
| ASTH |
0.14 |
0.85 |
0.12 |
25% |
DEADGRINDCOVERELEV |
YELLOW
|
| PTGX |
0.14 |
0.85 |
0.12 |
53% |
DEADGRINDCOVERELEVATM |
YELLOW
|
| XPER |
0.13 |
0.85 |
0.12 |
38% |
DEADGRINDCOVERELEVATM |
YELLOW
|
| FTV |
0.12 |
0.85 |
0.12 |
34% |
DEADGRINDCOVERELEV |
YELLOW
|
| TBI |
0.11 |
0.85 |
0.12 |
32% |
DEADGRINDCOVERELEV |
YELLOW
|
| WEX |
0.10 |
0.85 |
0.12 |
25% |
DEADGRINDCOVERELEVEarnings |
YELLOW
|
| KALU |
0.10 |
0.85 |
0.12 |
40% |
DEADGRINDCOVERELEV |
YELLOW
|
| ALCO |
0.10 |
0.85 |
0.12 |
28% |
DEADGRINDCOVERELEV |
YELLOW
|
| PLUS |
0.09 |
0.85 |
0.12 |
34% |
DEADGRINDCOVERELEVEarnings |
YELLOW
|
| MLAB |
0.08 |
0.85 |
0.12 |
26% |
DEADGRINDCOVERELEVATM*Earnings |
YELLOW
|
| MATW |
0.07 |
0.85 |
0.12 |
25% |
DEADGRINDCOVERELEVATM* |
YELLOW
|
| NTCT |
0.06 |
0.85 |
0.11 |
21% |
DEADGRINDCOVERELEV |
YELLOW
|
| FCN |
0.06 |
0.85 |
0.11 |
33% |
DEADGRINDCOVERELEVATM |
YELLOW
|
| LSTR |
0.05 |
0.85 |
0.11 |
11% |
DEADGRINDCOVERELEVEarnings |
YELLOW
|
| PBYI |
0.05 |
0.85 |
0.11 |
17% |
DEADGRINDCOVERELEVATM |
YELLOW
|
| SRCE |
0.04 |
0.85 |
0.11 |
14% |
DEADGRINDCOVERELEVEarnings |
YELLOW
|
| RMBI |
0.04 |
0.85 |
0.11 |
11% |
DEADGRINDCOVERELEVILLIQ |
YELLOW
|
| ALB |
0.03 |
0.85 |
0.11 |
22% |
DEADGRINDCOVERELEVATM |
YELLOW
|
| SLRC |
0.02 |
0.85 |
0.11 |
8% |
DEADGRINDCOVERELEVATM |
YELLOW
|
| SENS |
0.19 |
0.65 |
0.11 |
6% |
DEADGRINDADDELEVATM |
YELLOW
|
| SLF |
0.19 |
0.65 |
0.10 |
98% |
DEADGRINDADDELEVDDUP? |
YELLOW
|
| KPLT |
0.18 |
0.65 |
0.10 |
32% |
DEADGRINDADDELEVILLIQ |
YELLOW
|
| HUN |
0.13 |
0.65 |
0.10 |
16% |
DEADGRINDADDELEV |
YELLOW
|
| PCRX |
0.13 |
0.65 |
0.10 |
27% |
DEADGRINDADDELEVATM |
YELLOW
|
| EPC |
0.12 |
0.65 |
0.10 |
42% |
DEADGRINDADDELEVATM |
YELLOW
|
| CNK |
0.11 |
0.65 |
0.09 |
41% |
DEADGRINDADDELEVATM |
YELLOW
|
| POWI |
0.10 |
0.65 |
0.09 |
33% |
DEADGRINDADDELEV |
YELLOW
|
| CE |
0.10 |
0.65 |
0.09 |
30% |
DEADGRINDADDELEV |
YELLOW
|
| INN |
0.10 |
0.65 |
0.09 |
37% |
DEADGRINDADDELEVATM* |
YELLOW
|
| MTUS |
0.10 |
0.65 |
0.09 |
36% |
DEADGRINDADDELEV |
YELLOW
|
| PRTA |
0.10 |
0.65 |
0.09 |
31% |
DEADGRINDADDELEVATM |
YELLOW
|
| BTMD |
0.10 |
0.65 |
0.09 |
28% |
DEADGRINDADDELEVEarningsILLIQ |
YELLOW
|
| CARG |
0.10 |
0.65 |
0.09 |
27% |
DEADGRINDADDELEV |
YELLOW
|
| KTB |
0.09 |
0.65 |
0.09 |
25% |
DEADGRINDADDELEV |
YELLOW
|
| NTAP |
0.08 |
0.65 |
0.09 |
24% |
DEADGRINDADDELEVEarnings |
YELLOW
|
| OII |
0.06 |
0.65 |
0.09 |
21% |
DEADGRINDADDELEV |
YELLOW
|
| SAH |
0.05 |
0.65 |
0.09 |
16% |
DEADGRINDADDELEVATM |
YELLOW
|
| BXP |
0.05 |
0.65 |
0.09 |
26% |
DEADGRINDADDELEVATM |
YELLOW
|
| ECPG |
0.05 |
0.65 |
0.09 |
21% |
DEADGRINDADDELEVATM |
YELLOW
|
| UTI |
0.05 |
0.65 |
0.09 |
14% |
DEADGRINDADDELEVEarnings |
YELLOW
|
| ETON |
0.10 |
0.55 |
0.08 |
24% |
DEADGRINDADDNDA |
YELLOW
|
| TGTX |
0.09 |
0.55 |
0.08 |
27% |
DEADGRINDADDATM |
YELLOW
|
| BLMN |
0.08 |
0.55 |
0.08 |
31% |
DEADGRINDADDATM |
YELLOW
|
| UNFI |
0.07 |
0.55 |
0.08 |
28% |
DEADGRINDADDEarnings |
YELLOW
|
| HOG |
0.07 |
0.55 |
0.08 |
13% |
DEADGRINDADDATMEarnings |
YELLOW
|
| PVH |
0.12 |
0.50 |
0.08 |
38% |
DEADGRINDELEVATM*Earnings |
YELLOW
|
| AGM |
0.05 |
0.55 |
0.08 |
19% |
DEADGRINDADD |
YELLOW
|
|
Market Headlines |
8 sources · 10:07 ET |
Citi: Turmoil in the Middle East—Assessing the Longer-term Implications - FJElite
FJ 1h ago
The turmoil in the Middle East could lead to higher oil prices and increased market volatility, potentially causing a risk-off sentiment that might drive down equities and increase demand for safe-haven assets. Keep an eye on crude price movements and any diplomatic efforts that could lead to a de-escalation. If the situation escalates, we might see a significant reevaluation of risk across markets.
| BBG |
Nasdaq 100 Jumps as Intel’s Blockbuster Sales View Impresses
Intel's blockbuster sales view has impressed investors, likely boosting confidence in the tech sector and potentially leading to a broad-based tech rally. This could increase investor appetite for risk, but it's essential to monitor upcoming tech earnings reports to assess the sustainability of this trend. A subsequent decline in tech stocks or failure to meet future earnings expectations could stall this rally.
|
1h ago |
| FT |
Goldman leads record renminbi borrowing by US banks
Goldman leading record renminbi borrowing by US banks may signal increased global financial integration, potentially strengthening the renminbi and increasing interest in Chinese financial markets. However, regulatory pushback or economic instability could choke this story. Watch for renminbi exchange rates and Chinese market performance to gauge the impact.
|
10h ago |
| FJ |
MOO Imbalance
|
36m ago |
| FJ |
Russia has ideas to break the deadlock. Oman ties may help resolve the crisis - source familiar with regional talks
Russia's ideas to break the deadlock in the Middle East, potentially aided by Oman's ties, could lead to a de-escalation and decreased oil prices, boosting risk assets. However, if these efforts fail, we might see oil prices rise and risk-off sentiment return. Monitor diplomatic progress and oil price movements closely.
|
31m ago |
| FT |
Middle East crisis day 55 as it happened: Donald Trump says Israel and Lebanon will extend ceasefire by 3 weeks
The extension of the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon could lead to decreased market volatility and lower oil prices, potentially causing equities to rise and safe-haven assets to decline. However, the fragility of the ceasefire is a systemic constraint, and a rapid breakdown could lead to a relief rally reversal. Watch for signs of lasting peace or renewed conflict.
|
15h ago |
| FJ |
US Secretary of War Hegseth: Iran has an open window to choose wisely at the negotiating table
|
1h ago |
| FJ |
The DOJ expected to drop criminal probe of Fed chair Powell as soon as Friday - ABC
|
1m ago |
|
Financial Wire |
Top 5 · AI digest · 10:07 ET |
| FJ |
Iran FM Visits Pakistan Amid US Tensions
Iranian FM's visit to Pakistan may ease regional tensions
|
1h ago |
| FJ |
US War Secretary Warns Iran on Blockade
US to maintain Strait of Hormuz blockade until Iran complies
|
1h ago |
| FJ |
Fed Chair Powell Probe Dropped
No charges for Powell, easing market uncertainty
|
1m ago |
| FJ |
Oil Market on Edge Amid Iran-US Tensions
Escalating tensions may disrupt oil supplies, driving prices
|
1h ago |
| FJ |
University of Michigan Inflation Data Released
Inflation expectations ease, supporting rate stability
|
7m ago |
Source: FinancialJuice · 40 flashes scanned
|
|
STHH
$100.63
+2.3%
|
Bearish
|
Steinhoff International Holdings N.V. (STHH) has no directly available news; however, a MarketBeat page for STMicroelectronics NV ADRhedged Review and Aggregate Rating (STHH) exists. STMicroelectronics is listed on marketscreener.com. No actionable information on STHH is provided.
|
|
LRCX
$272.73
+5.5%
|
Bullish
|
| Composite 68 |
1M +10.8% |
3M +18.6% |
1Y +287.5% |
UP |
Lam Research (LRCX) reported Q3 earnings at the upper end of guidance, with EPS exceeding the top end of the company's outlook, and CEO Timothy Archer citing a "solid start" to calendar year 2026. JPMorgan raised its price target to $315 from $300, citing a reset near-term bar and multi-year wafer fab equipment framework. The market may be underestimating LRCX's growth potential amid AI-driven DRAM demand outpacing supply.
|
|
|
Options · Portfolio · Actionable Picks
|
|
| Ticker |
Rating |
Buy / Hold / Sell |
Period |
| NVDA |
Buy |
66 / 4 / 1
|
2026-04-01 |
| AMZN |
Buy |
71 / 5 / 0
|
2026-04-01 |
| AUGO |
Buy |
11 / 1 / 0
|
2026-04-01 |
| WMT |
Buy |
44 / 4 / 0
|
2026-04-01 |
| CNL |
Buy |
10 / 1 / 0
|
2026-04-01 |
| MSFT |
Buy |
59 / 6 / 0
|
2026-04-01 |
| META |
Buy |
64 / 8 / 0
|
2026-04-01 |
| WAB |
Buy |
13 / 5 / 0
|
2026-04-01 |
|
| Date |
Company |
Range |
Size |
| Apr 24 |
XE
X-Energy, Inc.
|
— |
$936M |
| Apr 28 |
BWGC
BW Industrial Holdings Inc.
|
— |
$21M |
| Apr 29 |
PS
PERSHING SQUARE HOLDCO, L.P.
|
— |
— |
| May 05 |
RIKU
RIKU DINING GROUP Ltd
|
— |
$34M |
|
Congressional Trades |
1 disclosures · 14d |
US Senate & House financial disclosures · STOCK Act · FMP
| Member |
Ticker |
Type |
Amount |
| James E Hon Banks |
SBUX |
Sale |
$1,001 - $15,000 |
|
Market Movers |
FMP real-time |
Top Gainers
SCNI
+90.9%
$0.87
ENVB
+49.8%
$6.02
LIDR
+49.1%
$2.52
LINT
+46.5%
$104.90
GMEX
+37.0%
$0.51
Top Losers
SNOA
-45.6%
$0.98
CHSN
-45.0%
$1.37
SKLZ
-36.9%
$7.85
AIXI
-28.6%
$0.77
NPT
-24.0%
$1.39
|
Unusual Options Volume |
15 scanned · 10:10 ET |
| Ticker |
Total Vol |
Calls |
Puts |
P/C |
Hottest Strike |
| SPY |
403,741 |
149,077 |
254,664 |
1.71
|
$711C 27,680 vol |
| SPY: Bearish flow, put/call 1.71 suggests hedge or directional put bet, with $711C seeing unusual call buying. |
| QQQ |
316,442 |
133,886 |
182,556 |
1.36
|
$660C 20,051 vol |
| QQQ: Mixed flow, no clear directional signal, with P/C 1.36 and $660C leading call activity. |
| TSLA |
308,329 |
223,284 |
85,045 |
0.38
|
$380C 31,924 vol |
| TSLA: Bullish call buying, low P/C 0.38 and $380C hot, indicating potential upside bet. |
| NVDA |
224,668 |
174,166 |
50,502 |
0.29
|
$205C 65,990 vol |
| NVDA: Aggressive bullish call buying, P/C 0.29 and $205C seeing 65,990 vol, suggests directional bet. |
| AMD |
114,025 |
64,746 |
49,279 |
0.76
|
$360C 12,832 vol |
| AMD: Neutral to bullish flow, with P/C 0.76 and $360C leading call activity, possible upside play. |
|
|
FIX
CSP
Best Quality
Very High · max 3%
|
$62B
· Earnings Feb 19
· Div 0.2%
|
| $1490P |
21 DTE |
+35.2% ann. |
+17.7% OTM |
Δ 0.16 |
POP 84% |
|
| Comfort Systems USA Inc. (FIX) stock is rising after beating Q1 earnings and revenue estimates due to growth in technology demand. |
|
LWLG
CSP
Craziest Return
Moderate · max 1.5%
|
$2B
· Earnings Mar 20
|
| $12P |
21 DTE |
+152.1% ann. |
+11.5% OTM |
Δ 0.30 |
POP 70% |
|
| Lightwave Logic's stock is up 17% today following the integration news with GDSFactory and GlobalFoundries, and also boosts its at-the-market stock program. |
|
FORM
CSP
Safest
High · max 2%
|
$12B
· Earnings Feb 04
|
| $125P |
21 DTE |
+45.9% ann. |
+19.9% OTM |
Δ 0.22 |
POP 78% |
|
| FormFactor's stock is up today, according to Yahoo Finance, though no specific catalyst or reason for the increase was provided in the headline. |
|
MU
CC
Best Quality
High · max 2%
|
$563B
· Earnings Mar 18
· Div 0.1%
|
| $540C |
21 DTE |
+80.1% ann. |
+7.6% OTM |
Δ 0.08 |
POP 92% |
|
| Micron Technology (MU) stock is seeing bullish options activity, with CSP opportunities showing high annual returns up to 41.4% on the 430.0P 28DTE. |
|
BWET
CC
Craziest Return
Low · max 1%
|
$31M
|
| $145C |
21 DTE |
+254.4% ann. |
+5.1% OTM |
Δ 0.17 |
POP 83% |
|
| Lucid's stock is declining due to investor concerns over dilution despite a $500M Uber bet and 35,000-vehicle robotaxi deal. |
|
LITE
CC
Safest
High · max 2%
|
$61B
· Earnings Feb 03
|
| $955C |
42 DTE |
+79.4% ann. |
+13.4% OTM |
Δ 0.06 |
POP 94% |
|
| Lumentum's stock price is down 3.1% as investors consider a recent note-for-stock exchange dilution and position ahead of earnings. |
|
Portfolio Hedge |
SPY $710 · QQQ $659 · VIX 19.1 |
Optimal single-put hedge for a $100K portfolio · β-matched sizing for uniform protection across -5% to -20% · roll every 60 days
✓ VIX 19.1 — Below 22.0 threshold. Puts are cheap — good time to hedge.
SPY Puts
| Profile |
Strike |
Exp |
Qty |
Prem |
Cost |
Ann % |
| Defensive β=0.65 |
$705P |
54d |
1 |
$14.77 |
$1,477 |
10.0% |
| Balanced ● β=0.85 |
$725P |
54d |
1 |
$23.17 |
$2,317 |
15.7% |
| Aggressive β=1.10 |
$690P |
54d |
2 |
$10.82 |
$2,164 |
14.6% |
Scenario: 1× SPY $725P 54d (β=0.85 portfolio)
| Scenario |
SPY |
Coverage |
NLV |
| Pullback -5% |
$674 |
119% |
$98,501 |
| Correction -10% |
$639 |
101% |
$97,800 |
| Bear leg -15% |
$603 |
95% |
$97,099 |
| Crash -20% |
$568 |
92% |
$96,398 |
QQQ Puts
| Profile |
Strike |
Exp |
Qty |
Prem |
Cost |
Ann % |
| Defensive β=0.65 |
$660P |
54d |
1 |
$20.17 |
$2,017 |
13.6% |
| Balanced ● β=0.85 |
$670P |
54d |
1 |
$24.68 |
$2,468 |
16.7% |
| Aggressive β=1.10 |
$645P |
54d |
2 |
$14.90 |
$2,980 |
20.1% |
Scenario: 1× QQQ $670P 54d (β=0.85 portfolio)
| Scenario |
QQQ |
Coverage |
NLV |
| Pullback -5% |
$626 |
104% |
$97,702 |
| Correction -10% |
$593 |
91% |
$96,745 |
| Bear leg -15% |
$560 |
86% |
$95,789 |
| Crash -20% |
$527 |
84% |
$94,833 |
One near-ATM put per 100 shares of β-adjusted exposure · roll at 30d remaining · near-ATM strikes provide uniform -5% to -20% coverage unlike OTM ladders · 10:10 ET
|
|
April 2026 Picks — SD50 Portfolio (MTD)
Apr 01 – Apr 24 (MTD) · Hit rate: 31/42 · Avg return: +9.0% · YTD: +5.4%
Systematic monthly portfolio · 5 low-correlation signal streams spanning large-cap quality, broad-universe value, thematic momentum, high-volatility mean-reversion, and static hedges · multi-timeframe scoring across 7,000+ symbols · no discretionary overrides
| Live Track Record · since 2025-07 · 9 months |
| Return |
+65.0% |
Ann. |
94.9% |
Sharpe |
2.70 |
Max DD |
-8.5% |
| Win% |
89% |
Alpha |
+87.0% |
SPY |
+5.9% |
$100K → |
$164,968 |
| Full backtest · 2012-04–2026-03 · 168 months |
| Total |
2,274% |
Ann. |
25.4% |
Sharpe |
1.06 |
Max DD |
-20.4% |
| Win% |
64% |
Alpha |
+14.3% |
SPY |
334% |
$100K → |
$2,374,125 |
| Ticker |
Wt% |
Return |
| XOM |
24.7% |
-7.7% |
| JNJ |
14.8% |
-6.6% |
| CNL |
7.6% |
+11.7% |
| AUGO |
5.8% |
+0.9% |
| WAB |
5.1% |
+4.1% |
| WMT |
4.3% |
+5.1% |
| NUE |
3.6% |
+21.6% |
| AAUC |
2.8% |
+2.2% |
| BWET |
2.6% |
+24.8% |
| STLD |
2.5% |
+21.4% |
| ORR |
1.8% |
-3.7% |
| GILD |
1.8% |
-6.6% |
| TBN |
1.7% |
-20.3% |
| LQDA |
1.7% |
-2.4% |
| CFG |
1.2% |
+6.6% |
| TERN |
1.2% |
+0.1% |
| GEV |
1.2% |
+26.0% |
| XIDV |
1.0% |
+2.0% |
| LLY |
0.9% |
-7.2% |
| COST |
0.9% |
+1.5% |
| PGR |
0.9% |
+4.2% |
|
|
| Ticker |
Wt% |
Return |
| GLD |
0.9% |
-1.0% |
| ASMH |
0.9% |
+3.3% |
| SFD |
0.8% |
+2.0% |
| AAOI |
0.8% |
+67.2% |
| GRDN |
0.6% |
-0.3% |
| FEIM |
0.6% |
+10.0% |
| JPM |
0.5% |
+4.9% |
| AMZN |
0.5% |
+23.0% |
| TSLA |
0.5% |
-2.1% |
| AVGO |
0.5% |
+32.2% |
| BRK.B |
0.5% |
-1.9% |
| GOOGL |
0.5% |
+13.9% |
| NVDA |
0.5% |
+15.1% |
| AAPL |
0.5% |
+6.2% |
| MSFT |
0.5% |
+13.4% |
| META |
0.5% |
+15.2% |
| AIS |
0.4% |
+32.4% |
| ANAB |
0.4% |
+34.0% |
| BTSG |
0.4% |
+13.3% |
| EMEQ |
0.4% |
+16.9% |
| BRAZ |
0.4% |
+4.0% |
|
|
|
Important Disclosures
The MOS Regime Inference is powered by a proprietary quantitative engine utilizing a Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) Hidden Markov Model ensemble. It combines Bayesian probabilistic state detection with deep learning sequence models across dozens of cross-asset features to identify structural market shifts and early-warning crisis indicators. This model is experimental and subject to inherent statistical uncertainties.
Timing. The issue date above is the publication (send) date. The regime badge, regime_latest.json snapshot, and embedded regime timeline chart are produced when this issue is built: we run hmm_validation_suite.py --inference at the start of that pipeline using the latest trading rows then available in the price cache (often through the prior U.S. session close when today’s full session bar is not yet in the panel). Running inference again later the same day can change SPY, VIX, PBT, and leverage readouts. The timeline chart is a rolling ~90-day view frozen at send time; back-to-back archived issues can look very similar when history overlaps.
This newsletter is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Options trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance, including backtested results, does not guarantee future returns. Backtested performance has inherent limitations: it is constructed with the benefit of hindsight, does not reflect actual trading, and may not account for all market conditions, transaction costs, or liquidity constraints. The author may hold positions in securities mentioned. All data is believed reliable but accuracy is not guaranteed. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
|
|
Enjoy this briefing? Forward it to a colleague.
New here? Subscribe free — delivered every trading day before 10 AM ET.
|
|
|
|