MOS · Deep Dive

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.
2026-04-23 08:24 ET · Analysis took 28.6s
$377.58 -2.6% Bullish
Tesla (TSLA) trades at $377.58, currently 2.6% below its recent highs, with a composite score of 18/100 indicating a historically low sentiment backdrop despite a 1-year return of 62.8%. The stock's options market is severely overpriced, with an IV/RV ratio of 2.84x and only a 5% forward probability of a 15% move, making current CSP and covered call opportunities unattractive. With a forward P/E of 137.3 and a target price of $416, the market is pricing a key question: can Tesla's growth prospects justify its rich valuation amidst a -3% revenue growth outlook?
Composite
18
/ 100
1M
+1.2%
3M
-13.8%
6M
-12.4%
1Y
+62.8%
Trend
UP
Sharpe
0.65

Fundamentals
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Auto Manufacturers
Market Cap
$1.4T
Fwd P/E
137.3
Trail P/E
346.7
Beta
1.92
Short Interest
2.0%
Analyst Target
$416
Margin
4%
Rev Growth
-3%
EPS Growth
-61%
ROE
5%
D/E
18%
From 52w High
-24.2%
From 52w Low
+51.6%
Consensus
Buy

Research Digest
Tesla (TSLA) reported Q1 2026 earnings with adjusted EPS of $0.41 (beating estimates of $0.34) and revenue of $22.39 billion (beating estimates of $22.19 billion). The stock surged above $400 before retreating. Risk: Musk's tone may not sustain if growth slows.
Headlines
Yahoo Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq edge up as oil rises amid Hormuz standoff
Yahoo Tesla earnings: Do investors need more guidance on timelines?
Yahoo Why Tesla investors should love this version of CEO Elon Musk
Yahoo Optimus 3: Musk teases plans for unveiling
Yahoo Stock market today: S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit fresh records as market rally resumes, Tesla reports earnings

Signals
Bullish Probability
17%
Expected Move (45d)
10.2%
Insider Activity
Score 45.3

Options Intelligence
Options are NOT attractive. IV/RV 2.8x — options severely overpriced; Only 5% forward probability of a 15% move.
IV / RV Ratio
2.84x
VERY EXPENSIVE (IV >> RV)
Implied Vol
40.1%
Fwd Prob (±15%)
5%
Option Score
93
/ 100
Open Interest
4,997
Volume
1,280
Bid-Ask Spread
1.0%
Liquidity
High

Cash Secured Puts
StrikeDTEPremiumAnn. ReturnOTM %Delta
$340.0 29d $4.45 16.5% 10.1% 0.17
$340.0 36d $5.50 16.4% 10.1% 0.19
$335.0 36d $4.60 13.9% 11.4% 0.17

Covered Calls
StrikeDTEPremiumAnn. ReturnOTM %Delta
$400.0 22d $7.93 34.8% 5.8% 0.14
$397.5 22d $8.60 37.7% 5.2% 0.17
$407.5 22d $6.12 26.9% 7.8% 0.07
$405.0 22d $6.70 29.4% 7.1% 0.09
$400.0 29d $9.95 33.1% 5.8% 0.18

Call Leverage
StrikeDTECostPrem %BE Move+15% ROIDeltaIVScore
$380.0 55d $24.98 6.6% 7.1% 119% 0.52 40% 93
$345.0 35d $41.12 10.9% 2.1% 118% 0.78 41% 54
$350.0 35d $37.20 9.8% 2.4% 128% 0.75 41% 60
$355.0 35d $33.67 8.9% 2.8% 137% 0.71 41% 60
$360.0 35d $30.40 8.0% 3.3% 146% 0.67 41% 80
MOS · Deep Dive · 2026-04-23 08:24 ET
Generated in 28.6s · mosbrief.com