MOS · Deep Dive

LUNR

Intuitive Machines, Inc.
2026-04-10 06:54 ET · Analysis took 10.9s
$22.78 +3.3% Bullish
LUNR's 3.3% intraday gain to $22.78 sparks interest as it edges closer to its $22 target, despite a steep 105.9 Fwd P/E and negative Rev growth of -18%. The stock's recent 36.9% surge on the IM-5 NASA Lunar Lander contract win has pushed its 1M and 1Y returns to +19.1% and +202.8%, respectively, with a bullish probability of 50%. However, severely overpriced options with an IV/RV ratio of 10.66x and an expected move of 27.0% raise questions about the sustainability of the current rally.
Composite
56
/ 100
1M
+19.1%
3M
+11.9%
6M
+76.0%
1Y
+202.8%
Trend
UP
Sharpe
0.11

Fundamentals
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Aerospace & Defense
Market Cap
$4B
Fwd P/E
105.9
Beta
1.31
Short Interest
20.3%
Analyst Target
$22
Margin
-40%
Rev Growth
-18%
ROE
-103%
D/E
183%
From 52w High
-9.0%
From 52w Low
+237.2%
Consensus
None

Research Digest
Intuitive Machines (LUNR) surged 36.9% after securing a $180.4 million NASA contract for its IM-5 lunar lander mission. The stock's 1-year return stands at 202.8%, with a forward P/E of 106.0 and a market capitalization of $4B. High short interest of 20.3% and a rich valuation could unwind the rally if growth expectations aren't met.
Headlines
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Signals
Bullish Probability
50%
Expected Move (45d)
27.0%

Options Intelligence
Options are NOT attractive. IV/RV 10.7x — options severely overpriced; Only 5% forward probability of a 15% move.
IV / RV Ratio
10.66x
VERY EXPENSIVE (IV >> RV)
Implied Vol
104.4%
Fwd Prob (±15%)
5%
Option Score
63
/ 100
Open Interest
305
Volume
12
Bid-Ask Spread
12.3%
Liquidity
Moderate

Call Leverage
StrikeDTECostPrem %BE Move+15% ROIDeltaIVScore
$22.0 34d $3.25 14.3% 10.8% 29% 0.62 104% 63
$21.0 34d $3.88 17.0% 9.2% 34% 0.68 107% 38
$23.0 34d $3.08 13.5% 14.5% 4% 0.57 106% 60
$24.0 34d $2.44 10.7% 16.1% -10% 0.51 101% 54
$25.0 34d $2.15 9.5% 19.2% -44% 0.46 104% 48
MOS · Deep Dive · 2026-04-10 06:54 ET
Generated in 10.9s · mosbrief.com