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MOS
Markets · Options · Signal
April 13, 2026 · All times ET
Regime RECOVERY Day 2
Market Snapshot · 09:45 ET
S&P 500
676.95
-0.37%
Nasdaq
608.64
-0.40%
Dow
475.81
-0.72%
Russell 2k
260.20
-0.42%
VIX
20.61
+7.18%
20Y Bond
86.47
-0.02%
Gold
434.13
-0.69%
Silver
67.03
-2.97%
Oil
133.03
+6.58%
USD
27.52
+0.31%
CNN Fear & Greed
37 Fear
wk +14 · mo +16
AAII Survey 2026-04-08
▲ 35.7% / ▼ 43.0% / 21.3%
spread -7.3 · avg bull 35.0%
Key Technical Levels
SPY Trend: Neutral Sup: 672.70 Res: 682.03 RSI: 59.1
QQQ Trend: Neutral Sup: 599.71 Res: 613.67 RSI: 59.6
Econ Calendar
3 high-impact · Mon Apr 13 – Wed Apr 15 · as of 09:45 ET
Mon Apr 13
10:00 US Existing Home Sales (Mar) — est. 4.07M, prev. 4.09M
Tue Apr 14
08:30 US PPI (MoM) (Mar) — est. 1.2%, prev. 0.7%
Wed Apr 15
10:30 US Crude Oil Inventories — prev. 3.081M
Macro Snapshot
09:49 ET
Indicator Value Change
2Y Yield 3.81% +0bps
10Y Yield 4.32% +0bps
Spread +52bps Normal
DXY 98.87 +0.23%
VIX/3M 0.90 Contango
HY OAS 6.83% -0.05%
BZ–WTI 0.9877
$94.45 · $95.63
z -2.77 · Long spread · ρ 92%
Pair MR · STRONG · LONG BZ, SHORT CL · z=-2.77 · ρ=92% · hist Sharpe 0.81
In leg since 2026-03-30 (day 9) · z_entry -1.92 → now -2.77. Exit plan: flatten when z rises above -0.50 (~2.27 z-pts to that trigger). z more extreme than at entry — same z exit band (no calendar stop). Sample median closed hold 10d (exits are z-triggered).
GDXJ–GLD 0.2931
$127.27 · $434.23
z +0.66 · Neutral · ρ 84%
Pair MR · NEUTRAL · NEUTRAL · z=+0.29 · ρ=84% · hist Sharpe 0.78
z is inside the exit band (|z| < 0.50) — strategy is between trades.
BTC $71,012 +0.4%
ETH $2,186 -0.3%
ETH/BTC 0.0308
Sector Rotation · Today
09:49 ET
Energy
+1.16%
XLE
Technology
+0.04%
XLK
Industrials
-0.02%
XLI
Health Care
-0.08%
XLV
Materials
-0.30%
XLB
Financials
-0.32%
XLF
Communication
-0.38%
XLC
Real Estate
-0.42%
XLRE
Utilities
-0.45%
XLU
Cons. Discr.
-0.48%
XLY
Cons. Staples
-0.59%
XLP
In today's RECOVERY regime, Energy and Tech lead as Industrials hold, while Defensives falter, with Utilities, Cons. Discr., and Staples lagging, a risk-on vibe.
Regime Timeline
HMM Regime Detection — SPY 90-day timeline
HMM V6 · 4-state model · 42 features
From the Desk · RECOVERY Day 2 (prev. close)
“The market remains in a RECOVERY regime for 2 days, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq down 0.37% and 0.40% respectively from the previous close, while the Dow and Russell 2k also declined. Worth watching is the divergence between Goldman Sachs' equity trading record and its bond trading miss, as Treasury yields rise on inflation concerns following the collapse of Iran talks.”
— The MOS Quantitative Desk
Policy Risk Monitor — @realDonaldTrump
“Impeachment Bombshell: Secret memos expose Ukraine accuser’s bias, hearsay, and false claim: https://justthenews.com/accountability/whistleblowers/ukraine-bombshell-long-secret-memos-expose-whistleblower-bias-hearsay”
7h ago
$WEATDefenseEnergy
“Impeachment Bombshell: Secret memos expose Ukraine accuser’s bias, hearsay, and false claim: https://justthenews.com/accountability/whistleblowers/ukraine-bombshell-long-secret-memos-expose-whistleblower-bias-hearsay”
7h ago
$WEATDefenseEnergy
“Pope Leo is WEAK on Crime, and terrible for Foreign Policy. He talks about “fear” of the Trump Administration, but doesn’t mention the FEAR that the Catholic Church, and all other Christian Organizations, had during COVID when they were arresting priests, ministers, and everybody else, for holding Church Services, even when going outside, and being ten and even twenty feet apart. I like his brother Louis much better than I like him, because Louis is all MAGA. He gets it, and Leo doesn’t! I don’t want a Pope who thinks it’s OK for Iran to have a Nuclear Weapon. I don’t want a Pope who thinks it’s terrible that America attacked Venezuela, a Country that was sending massive amounts of Drugs into the United States and, even worse, emptying their prisons, including murderers, drug dealers, and killers, into our Country. And I don’t want a Pope who criticizes the President of the United States because I’m doing exactly what I was elected, IN A LANDSLIDE, to do, setting Record Low Numbers in Crime, and creating the Greatest Stock Market in History. Leo should be thankful because, as everyone knows, he was a shocking surprise. He wasn’t on any list to be Pope, and was only put there by the Church because he was an American, and they thought that would be the best way to deal with President Donald J. Trump. If I wasn’t in the White House, Leo wouldn’t be in the Vatican. Unfortunately, Leo’s Weak on Crime, Weak on Nuclear Weapons, does not sit well with me, nor does the fact that he meets with Obama Sympathizers like David Axelrod, a LOSER from the Left, who is one of those who wanted churchgoers and clerics to be arrested. Leo should get his act together as Pope, use Common Sense, stop catering to the Radical Left, and focus on being a Great Pope, not a Politician. It’s hurting him very badly and, more importantly, it’s hurting the Catholic Church! President DONALD J. TRUMP”
12h ago
$USO$XLEDefense
“RT: https://truthsocial.com/users/realDonaldTrump/statuses/116392448970133700Iran promised to open the Strait of Hormuz, and they knowingly failed to do so. This caused anxiety, dislocation, and pain to many people and Countries throughout the World. They say they put mines in the water, even though all of their Navy, and most of their “mine droppers,” have been completely blown up. They may have done so, but what ship owner would want to take the chance? There is great dishonor and permanent harm to the reputation of Iran, and what’s left of their “Leaders,” but we are beyond all of that. As they promised, they better begin the process of getting this INTERNATIONAL WATERWAY OPEN AND FAST! Every Law in the book is being violated by them. I have been fully debriefed by Vice President JD Vance, Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner, on the meeting that took place in Islamabad through the kind and very competent leadership of Field Marshal Asim Munir, and Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, of Pakistan. They are very extraordinary men, and continuously thank me for saving 30 to 50 million lives in what would have been a horrendous War with India. I always appreciate hearing that — The amount of Humanity spoken of is incomprehensible. The meeting with Iran began early in the morning, and lasted throughout the night — Close to 20 hours. I could go into great detail, and talk about much that has been gotten but, there is only one thing that matters — IRAN IS UNWILLING TO GIVE UP ITS NUCLEAR AMBITIONS! In many ways, the points that were agreed to are better than us continuing our Military Operations to conclusion, but all of those points don’t matter compared to allowing Nuclear Power to be in the hands of such volatile, difficult, unpredictable people. My three Representatives, as all of this time went by, became, not surprisingly, very friendly and respectful of Iran’s Representatives, Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf, Abbas Araghchi, and Ali Bagheri, but that doesn’t matter because they were very unyielding as to the single most important issue and, as I have always said, right from the beginning, and many years ago, IRAN WILL NEVER HAVE A NUCLEAR WEAPON!”
22h ago
$INDA$SPY$TLT$USO
Crowd Signal
250 posts · 5 subs · 09:48 ET
Trending tickers across Reddit · r/wallstreetbets · r/stocks · r/options · r/thetagang · r/StockMarket
Scoring: mention count × cross-sub breadth · pts = upvotes · N/M subs = appeared in N of M subreddits scanned
S mixed 420
“They are blockading 20% of the worlds oil supply.... my thesis from 18 days is c…”
WSB 3646 pts · 5/5 subs
AI mixed 101
“The SaaSpocalypse is crypto mania in reverse”
WSB 803 pts · 5/5 subs
MSFT bullish 33
“I tried to be a gey ber but not anymore”
WSB 61 pts · 5/5 subs
SPY mixed 22
“They are blockading 20% of the worlds oil supply.... my thesis from 18 days is c…”
WSB 3646 pts · 5/5 subs
PLTR mixed 21
“Fuck PLTR”
WSB 2695 pts · 3/5 subs
WISH mixed 20
“The Grande Dame of wsb”
WSB 1639 pts · 5/5 subs
BRO mixed 20
“They are blockading 20% of the worlds oil supply.... my thesis from 18 days is c…”
WSB 3646 pts · 4/5 subs
AMZN mixed 18
“AMZN rerating this week”
WSB 202 pts · 5/5 subs
Insider Wire
1348 Form 4s filed · 09:45 ET
Notable open-market transactions · SEC EDGAR · 2026-04-08 to 2026-04-13
Meso Bio's director clusters buys totaling $37.5M, while CEOs and execs at NET, ROKU, and CRWV dump shares ahead of earnings, in a mixed insider trading week.
Ticker Insider Value
SELL NET Prince Matthew CEO & Board Co-Chair $33.2M
BUY MESO George Gregory Director $26.1M
SELL ROKU Collier Charles President, Roku Media $21.6M
SELL CRWV McBee Brannin Chief Development Officer $13.5M
BUY MESO George Gregory Director $11.4M
BUY SG GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC Insider $3.4M
Short Interest Monitor
25 scanned · 09:49 ET
FINRA short interest via Yahoo · ~10 days (FINRA via Yahoo) · squeeze risk = SI% × days-to-cover
Ticker SI % DTC MoM Squeeze
UPST 33.4% 4.8d +17.9% ELEVATED
BYND 29.7% 4.0d -9.4% ELEVATED
SMCI 19.7% 3.6d +2.7% ELEVATED
DNTH 19.5% 7.1d +13.5% ELEVATED
GME 15.3% 11.1d -4.3% ELEVATED
AMC 15.3% 3.4d -28.4% ELEVATED
CVNA 14.6% 5.3d +16.9% MODERATE
AAOI 13.7% 1.0d -3.0% LOW
Market Headlines
8 sources · 09:45 ET
Goldman Shares Fall as Bond Trading Miss Outweighs Equity Record
BBG 2h ago
Goldman Sachs' bond trading miss may put pressure on its shares, but the record equity performance could offset some of this impact. Keep an eye on upcoming earnings reports and bond market conditions to gauge the stock's direction. A significant decline in Goldman Sachs' share price is possible if bond trading continues to underperform.
BBG Stocks Drop Ahead of Hormuz Blockade as Earnings Season Begins
Rising tensions around the Hormuz blockade may lead to increased volatility in oil prices and equities. Stocks could decline as investors seek safe-haven assets, such as bonds and gold. Monitor developments around the blockade and oil prices to adjust your equity exposure.
6m ago
BBG Goldman Sachs Kicks Off Three-Part Investment-Grade Bond Sale
Goldman Sachs' three-part investment-grade bond sale may indicate optimism about market conditions. If the sale is successful, it could lead to lower bond yields and corporate borrowing costs. However, market conditions could still deteriorate, affecting the bond sale's reception.
14m ago
FJ OPEC says OPEC+ crude output averaged 35.06 million bpd in March 2026, down 7.70 mln bpd from February, as Iran's war prompted Middle East members to cut output
OPEC+ crude output has declined, which may support oil prices and inflation expectations. Keep an eye on OPEC+ meetings and oil production levels to gauge the impact on economic growth and inflation. A significant increase in oil supply could lead to a decline in oil prices.
1h ago
CNBC Treasury yields rise as collapse of Iran talks clouds inflation outlook
The collapse of Iran talks may lead to increased inflation concerns, causing Treasury yields to rise. This could put pressure on risk assets, such as equities. Monitor economic data and Federal Reserve actions to adjust your inflation expectations and hedge against potential losses.
1h ago
FT Bank of England wins US approval for new way to rescue failed lenders
The Bank of England's new approach to rescuing failed lenders has received US approval, which may improve market sentiment and UK asset prices. However, the implementation's success will depend on market conditions and regulatory details. A smooth implementation could lead to increased financial stability.
18m ago
BBG HSBC Said to Lose Second Dubai Bond Banker to Wall Street Rival 1h ago
BBG Drugmaker Leo Pharma Is Said to Pick Banks for Copenhagen IPO 30m ago
Financial Wire
1h ago OPEC says OPEC+ crude output averaged 35.06 million bpd in March 2026, down 7.70 mln bpd from February, as Iran's war prompted Middle East members to cut output
14m ago MOO Imbalance
1h ago OPEC: Oil demand growth for 2Q 2026 is revised down for both the OECD and non-OECD given Iran war.
1h ago US Sentiment: Strait Blockade Boosts Inflation Fears - FJElite
45m ago Effective Fed Funds Rate 3.64% April 10 vs 3.64% April 9.
1h ago Bank of America: US, EU & UK Backdrops - FJElite
1h ago Pakistan, Egypt & Turkey will continue talks with the US & Iran in the coming days to bridge the remaining gaps & reach a deal to end the war - Axios reporter on X
1h ago Russia's Patrushev: Tankers carrying Russian oil that crossed the English Channel last week were escorted by a Russian frigate - IFX
48m ago Fitch: European defence sector growth since 2022 should continue, annual double-digit order growth expected through at least 2030.
1h ago OPEC sees world oil demand in Q2 2026 at 105.07 million bpd (vs.105.57 million bpd previous forecast)
3m ago ECB's Vujcic: Energy prices stable due to US-Iran ceasefire but may rise in case of war escalation.
9m ago Pakistani Prime Minister: We are working to resolve some issues between the United States and Iran.
6m ago ECB's Vujcic: Energy prices show we are currently closest to the ECB basic scenario.
1h ago OPEC leaves 2026 and 2027 full-year forecasts for global oil demand growth unchanged
1h ago US military to enforce blockade in the Oman Gulf and the Arabian Sea - Sources
Source: FinancialJuice
Research Digest
09:48 ET
AMAT $392.97 -2.1% Bullish
Composite 68 1M +18.4% 3M +32.6% 1Y +166.8% FLAT
Technology $312B P/E 28.1 β 1.64 SI 1.7% Target $422 Rev -2%
Applied Materials (AMAT) gained attention after unveiling deposition systems for 2nm and angstrom era AI chips, fueling excitement around its role in advanced chip fabrication. The stock has surged, with 1M and 1Y returns of +18.4% and +166.8%, respectively. However, with a forward P/E of 28.1 and a beta of 1.64, the market may be overestimating its growth prospects.
STO 2 Mooning Semiconductor Stocks with Competitive Advantages and 1 We Find Risky
BAR Dividend Stocks Outperformed During the War. They Could Do Well If There’s Peace.
SIM Assessing Applied Materials (AMAT) Valuation After New 2nm And Angstrom Era Chip Tools Fuel AI Excit
Options · Portfolio · Actionable Picks
Earnings This Week
Apr 13 – Apr 27 · 09:49 ET
Ticker Date Exp. Move
JNJ <1d Apr 14 ☀ N/A
Investors will closely watch Johnson & Johnson's upcoming earnings report on April 14, as analysts expect a positive performance, with one firm recommending buying the stock ahead of results.
JPM <1d Apr 14 ☀ N/A
JPMorgan Chase's Q1 earnings report on April 14 will likely be influenced by the overall banking sector's performance amid economic uncertainty and market volatility.
GEV Apr 22 N/A
Investors should monitor GE Vernova's order backlog and execution on its renewable energy projects, as a strong update could drive the stock's performance within the SD50 portfolio.
TSLA Apr 22 ☽ N/A
Investors should watch Tesla's upcoming earnings on April 22 for signs of resilience against bearish views, as some analysts predict a significant downside, while others have recently upgraded their ratings.
VRT Apr 22 N/A
Investors will watch Vertiv's (VRT) upcoming earnings on April 22 to gauge the company's progress in meeting growing demand for AI data centers and its recent acquisition of BMarko.
Analyst Moves
09:49 ET
Ticker Rating Buy / Hold / Sell Period
NVDA Buy 66 / 4 / 1 2026-04-01
AMZN Buy 71 / 5 / 0 2026-04-01
WMT Buy 44 / 4 / 0 2026-04-01
AUGO Buy 11 / 1 / 0 2026-04-01
CNL Buy 10 / 1 / 0 2026-04-01
MSFT Buy 59 / 6 / 0 2026-04-01
META Buy 64 / 8 / 0 2026-04-01
AAPL Buy 37 / 15 / 2 2026-04-01
IPO Calendar
09:49 ET
Date Company Range Size
Apr 14 MYXXU Maywood Acquisition Corp. 2 — $115M
Apr 15 EMI Encore Medical, Inc. — $17M
Apr 16 ARXS Arxis, Inc. — $1.2B
Apr 16 MAIR Madison Air Solutions Corp — $2.6B
Apr 17 AVEX AEVEX Corp. — $372M
Apr 17 BWGC BW Industrial Holdings Inc. — $21M
Apr 24 RIKU RIKU DINING GROUP Ltd — $34M
Unusual Options Volume
15 scanned · 09:49 ET
Ticker Total Vol Calls Puts P/C Hottest Strike
SPY 1,337,424 447,749 889,675
1.99
$680C 95,198 vol
SPY: High P/C ratio of 1.99 suggests bearish or hedging flow, with no clear directional signal.
QQQ 526,130 214,559 311,571
1.45
$612C 41,209 vol
QQQ: Elevated call buying at $612C indicates bullish bets ahead of earnings or key event.
TSLA 268,295 147,045 121,250
0.82
$350C 37,643 vol
TSLA: Call-heavy flow with P/C of 0.82 implies bullish positioning or short covering.
NVDA 232,424 145,834 86,590
0.59
$190C 87,515 vol
NVDA: Aggressive call buying with low P/C of 0.59 suggests bullish institutional positioning.
AMD 187,779 101,292 86,487
0.85
$250C 17,439 vol
AMD: Mixed flow, no clear directional signal, with P/C ratio near 1 and hot $250C call buying.
Income Plays
09:48 ET
VRT CSP Best Quality Very High · max 3% $114B · Earnings Apr 22 · Div 8.0%
$250P 18 DTE +38.1% ann. +16.0% OTM Δ 0.16 POP 84%
The Czech National Bank has opened a new $25.4M stock position in Vertiv (VRT), according to a report by Quiver Quantitative.
AXTI CSP Craziest Return Moderate · max 1.5% $3B · Earnings Apr 30
$55P 18 DTE +243.3% ann. +11.0% OTM Δ 0.31 POP 69%
AXTI stock is up 23% today according to data from Quiver Quantitative.
PL CSP Safest High · max 2% $11B · Earnings Jun 03
$27P 39 DTE +34.7% ann. +19.9% OTM Δ 0.19 POP 81%
Planet Labs' stock is up 2% today, according to Quiver Quantitative, amid recent developments including AI object detection breakthrough and favorable analyst coverage.
MU CC Best Quality Very High · max 3% $463B · Earnings Jun 24 · Div 14.0%
$450C 32 DTE +61.7% ann. +8.3% OTM Δ 0.11 POP 89%
Micron has a 15.58% downside risk to a target price of $318.89, despite a recent 485.1% rally, according to 24/7 Wall St.
AXTI CC Craziest Return Low · max 1% $3B · Earnings Apr 30
$67C 25 DTE +273.6% ann. +6.0% OTM Δ 0.16 POP 84%
AXTI stock is up 23% today according to data from Quiver Quantitative.
EWY CC Safest Moderate · max 1.5% $10B · Div 169.0%
$153C 39 DTE +25.9% ann. +12.2% OTM Δ 0.05 POP 95%
The Allspring Spectrum Income Allocation Fund holds a significant position in the iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY), according to GuruFocus.
Portfolio Hedge
SPY $677 · QQQ $609 · VIX 20.5
Optimal single-put hedge for a $100K portfolio · β-matched sizing for uniform protection across -5% to -20% · roll every 60 days
✓ VIX 20.5 — Below 22.0 threshold. Puts are cheap — good time to hedge.
SPY Puts
Profile Strike Exp Qty Prem Cost Ann %
Defensive
β=0.65
$675P 60d 1 $18.43 $1,843 11.2%
Balanced ●
β=0.85
$690P 60d 1 $31.98 $3,198 19.5%
Aggressive
β=1.10
$665P 60d 2 $15.44 $3,088 18.8%
Scenario: 1× SPY $690P 60d (β=0.85 portfolio)
Scenario SPY Coverage NLV
Pullback -5% $643 110% $97,221
Correction -10% $609 95% $96,357
Bear leg -15% $576 90% $95,492
Crash -20% $542 87% $94,628
QQQ Puts
Profile Strike Exp Qty Prem Cost Ann %
Defensive
β=0.65
$555P 65d 1 $163.03 $16,303 91.5%
Balanced ●
β=0.85
$555P 65d 1 $163.03 $16,303 91.5%
Aggressive
β=1.10
$555P 65d 2 $163.03 $32,606 183.1%
Scenario: 1× QQQ $555P 65d (β=0.85 portfolio)
Scenario QQQ Coverage NLV
Pullback -5% $578 0% $79,447
Correction -10% $548 8% $75,896
Bear leg -15% $518 29% $74,690
Crash -20% $487 40% $73,485
One near-ATM put per 100 shares of β-adjusted exposure · roll at 30d remaining · near-ATM strikes provide uniform -5% to -20% coverage unlike OTM ladders · 09:49 ET
April 2026 Picks — SD50 Portfolio (MTD)
Apr 01 – Apr 13 (MTD) · Hit rate: 30/40 · Avg return: +6.9% · YTD: +9.9%
Systematic monthly portfolio · 5 low-correlation signal streams spanning large-cap quality, broad-universe value, thematic momentum, high-volatility mean-reversion, and static hedges · multi-timeframe scoring across 7,000+ symbols · no discretionary overrides
 
Live Track Record · since 2025-07 · 9 months
Return +56.2% Ann. 81.2% Sharpe 2.78 Max DD -9.1%
Win% 89% Alpha +71.8% SPY +7.0% $100K → $156,184
Full backtest · 2016-12–2026-03 · 112 months
Total 2,124% Ann. 39.4% Sharpe 1.70 Max DD -12.2%
Win% 71% Alpha +28.7% SPY 159% $100K → $2,223,727
Growth of $100K — SD50 Portfolio vs benchmarks
Chart not visible? View on web
Ticker Wt% Return
WMT 14.4% +0.7%
XOM 14.0% -4.0%
JNJ 13.4% -2.5%
CNL 7.7% +1.4%
AUGO 6.1% +16.7%
FDX 5.1% +3.4%
TPR 3.6% +3.1%
EMEQ 3.5% +6.7%
GEV 2.8% +11.2%
NDSN 2.5% +2.7%
BTSG 2.3% +8.0%
MU 1.9% +11.7%
EOG 1.8% -1.7%
DNTH 1.7% +7.3%
AAOI 1.7% +69.5%
PCAR 1.2% +7.5%
LQDA 1.2% +2.3%
TBN 1.2% -17.5%
AAMI 1.0% +9.1%
PGR 0.9% +0.8%
 
Ticker Wt% Return
LLY 0.9% -2.1%
COST 0.9% -0.2%
GLD 0.9% -0.8%
TERN 0.8% -0.1%
PSI 0.7% +13.6%
AGX 0.6% +7.2%
MUX 0.6% +6.2%
GOOGL 0.5% +6.4%
AAPL 0.5% +0.9%
TSLA 0.5% -8.2%
AMZN 0.5% +12.3%
NVDA 0.5% +5.9%
AVGO 0.5% +18.3%
BRK.B 0.5% -0.1%
MSFT 0.5% +0.6%
META 0.5% +8.1%
JPM 0.5% +4.2%
MKOR 0.5% +8.3%
ANAB 0.4% +23.7%
SYRE 0.4% +35.6%
Important Disclosures
The MOS Regime Inference is powered by a proprietary quantitative engine utilizing a Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) Hidden Markov Model ensemble. It combines Bayesian probabilistic state detection with deep learning sequence models across dozens of cross-asset features to identify structural market shifts and early-warning crisis indicators. This model is experimental and subject to inherent statistical uncertainties.
Timing. The issue date above is the publication (send) date. The regime badge, regime_latest.json snapshot, and embedded regime timeline chart are produced when this issue is built: we run hmm_validation_suite.py --inference at the start of that pipeline using the latest trading rows then available in the price cache (often through the prior U.S. session close when today’s full session bar is not yet in the panel). Running inference again later the same day can change SPY, VIX, PBT, and leverage readouts. The timeline chart is a rolling ~90-day view frozen at send time; back-to-back archived issues can look very similar when history overlaps.
This newsletter is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Options trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance, including backtested results, does not guarantee future returns. Backtested performance has inherent limitations: it is constructed with the benefit of hindsight, does not reflect actual trading, and may not account for all market conditions, transaction costs, or liquidity constraints. The author may hold positions in securities mentioned. All data is believed reliable but accuracy is not guaranteed. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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MOS · EST. 2025 · NEW YORK
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